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feat: 确定性牌计数推理v2 — AbsoluteHandStrength + 包庄否决 + 混合策略修正

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CardTracker:
- 新增 AbsoluteHandStrength: 综合评估手牌实力(rank控制/绝对最高牌/炸弹/效率/已知率)
- 用于包庄决策的安全检查

IsmctsBot:
- EstimateWinProbability: 混合策略回退为纯ISMCTS + 确定性否决
  (混合加成导致虚假信心, v3验证0%胜率)
- 策略: detStrength<0.15 → 直接否决不包, 否则纯ISMCTS
- 阈值保持 v2 水平: minPlays≤3→0.50,≤4→0.60,≤5→0.65

验证: 100局0错误 0.8s/局 ENDGAME=983次 LOCK=3次
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xiaoou
2026-07-13 00:59:48 +08:00
parent 5cc2ae8bd0
commit 1b1404f38e
8 changed files with 62 additions and 0 deletions
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